Sport Picks
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Lichinga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
Costa do Sol host Ferroviario Lichinga in the Mocambola. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Ferroviario Lichinga have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Costa do Sol have conceded 0.74 and scored 1.15. Head-to-head, Costa do Sol have won 3 to Ferroviario Lichinga's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 0.69) back Costa do Sol to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Costa do Sol come out ahead of Ferroviario Lichinga on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Costa do Sol | Ferroviario Lichinga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 25 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.74 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Costa do Sol found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Costa do Sol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ferroviario Lichinga has conceded goals in 56% of their last 25 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Costa do Sol
(Home)Ferroviario Lichinga
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 26:12 | 37 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:13 | 34 |
| 4 | UD Songo | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Maputo | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 14:11 | 26 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 5:17 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
