Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Maputo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Telinho
28' Event
Njaliwa L.
48' Event
Bulaya D.

AI Match Summary

Costa do Sol in this Mocambola 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Costa do Sol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Costa do Sol
20%
Draws
38%
Ferroviario Maputo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Costa do Sol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Costa do Sol have won more games recently than Ferroviario Maputo.
  • Model gives Costa do Sol a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Costa do Sol have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa do Sol Ferroviario Maputo
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 8 7
Draws 12 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:0
Nov 24, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Maputo
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Costa do Sol
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Costa do Sol
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa do Sol Compare

Top Goalscorer Njaliwa L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bulaya D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ferroviario Maputo Compare

Top Goalscorer Telinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa do Sol 51 / 100
Ferroviario Maputo 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa do Sol Ferroviario Maputo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa do Sol's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Ferroviario Maputo has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Costa do Sol remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Costa do Sol VS Ferroviario Maputo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Songo22183150:1357
2Associacao Black Bulls23116635:2639
3Ferroviario Beira23107619:1337
4Ferroviario Lichinga2297638:3134
5Ferroviario Maputo23712425:1833
6Baia de Pemba2295824:2132
7ENH Vilankulo24710722:2131
8Costa do Sol23710618:1831
9Ferroviario Nacala2387816:1731
10Chingale de Tete2269722:2127
11Ferroviario Nampula2268821:2926
12Textafrica23481115:3020
13Desportivo de Nacala20261213:3112
14Desportivo Matola22241611:4010