Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Costa do Sol in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Costa do Sol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Costa do Sol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Costa do Sol at 1.07 per game, Ferroviario Maputo at 0.91.
- Win probability leans Costa do Sol's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Costa do Sol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Costa do Sol | Ferroviario Maputo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Costa do Sol
0:1
May 9, 2026 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:0
Nov 24, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Maputo
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Costa do Sol
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Costa do Sol 59 / 100
Ferroviario Maputo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Costa do Sol Ferroviario Maputo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Costa do Sol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Costa do Sol found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Costa do Sol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ferroviario Maputo let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Costa do Sol VS Ferroviario Maputo
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Costa do Sol
(Home) 16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1 Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0 Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0 Associacao Black Bulls
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1 Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0 Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0 Associacao Black Bulls
11 Aug
Costa do Sol
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
05 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviario Maputo
(Away) 15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1 Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
14 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
25 Jun
ENH Vilankulo
0 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 27:9 | 41 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 24:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 6 | UD Songo | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Maputo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 13:11 | 23 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 8:18 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Maxaquene | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 8:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Chingale de Tete | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 4:17 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
