Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa Rica U17 vs Mexico U17

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Reyes M.

AI Match Summary

Mexico U17 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Costa Rica U17
15%
Draws
54%
Mexico U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Mexico U17 have won more games recently than Costa Rica U17.
  • Costa Rica U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mexico U17 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Costa Rica U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Mexico U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica U17 Mexico U17
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 14 18
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2.74 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2024 Friendly International
Costa Rica U17 vs Mexico U17
0:1
May 6, 2017 CONCACAF Championship U17
Costa Rica U17 vs Mexico U17
1:6
Mar 12, 2015 CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 vs Costa Rica U17
1:1
Apr 26, 2009 CONCACAF Championship U17
Mexico U17 vs Costa Rica U17
1:0
Sep 25, 2005 World Cup U17
Costa Rica U17 vs Mexico U17
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Mexico U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica U17 83 / 100
Mexico U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica U17 Mexico U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Rica U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica U17 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (35 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Costa Rica U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mexico U17 let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica U17 VS Mexico U17
4.88 Goals Scored 3
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica U17

(Home)
10 Feb
Costa Rica U17
0 : 0
Puerto Rico U17
07 Feb
British Virgin Islands U17
0 : 26
Costa Rica U17
05 Feb
Costa Rica U17
9 : 0
Turks and Caicos Islands U17
09 Nov
Croatia U17
3 : 1
Costa Rica U17
06 Nov
Senegal U17
1 : 0
Costa Rica U17
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Mexico U17

(Away)
12 Feb
Mexico U17
2 : 1
Trinidad & Tobago U17
09 Feb
Barbados U17
1 : 4
Mexico U17
07 Feb
Mexico U17
4 : 0
Saint Martin U17
05 Feb
Sint Maarten U17
0 : 10
Mexico U17
18 Nov
Mexico U17
0 : 5
Portugal U17
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