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Costa Rica U17 W vs Mexico U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2025 FMF Asociación
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Reyes C.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Solis J.
45' Event
Sanchez D.
Assist: Miyazato A.

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica U17 W host Mexico U17 W in the World Cup Women U17 2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Costa Rica U17 W at 5.75 goals for, 0.88 against; Mexico U17 W at 0.75 for, 0.5 against. Past meetings favor Mexico U17 W slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 3.13 vs 0.81, favoring Mexico U17 W. Mexico U17 W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Costa Rica U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
Mexico U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Costa Rica U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Costa Rica U17 W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mexico U17 W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Costa Rica U17 W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in World Cup Women U17 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Costa Rica U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica U17 W Mexico U17 W
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 18 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 5.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 5.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Costa Rica U17 W
2:0
Apr 2, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Costa Rica U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
0:4
Feb 3, 2024 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Costa Rica U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
0:1
Nov 3, 2023 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
0:0
Mar 4, 2016 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Costa Rica U17 W
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 4.42
Avg xA / game 2.88

Mexico U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Solis J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica U17 W 85 / 100
Mexico U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica U17 W Mexico U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica U17 W scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Mexico U17 W let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Costa Rica U17 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mexico U17 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica U17 W VS Mexico U17 W
5.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 13%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico U17 W330021:09
2Costa Rica U17 W320117:56
3Haiti U17 W31024:213
4Bermuda U17 W30032:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada U17 W330010:29
2Puerto Rico U17 W320112:46
3Panama U17 W31023:83
4Nicaragua U17 W30030:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA U17 W330017:09
2El Salvador U17 W31115:84
3Honduras U17 W31113:94
4Trinidad & Tobago U17 W30031:90