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Costa Rica vs Corumbaense

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Sul-Matogrossense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Corumbaense in this Sul-Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Corumbaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Costa Rica
35%
Draws
45%
Corumbaense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Corumbaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Costa Rica have won more games recently than Corumbaense.
  • Model gives Corumbaense a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 20%
Corumbaense Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica Corumbaense
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 13 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.06 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Corumbaense
0:2
Jan 22, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Costa Rica
0:0
Mar 8, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Costa Rica vs Corumbaense
1:0
Jan 30, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Costa Rica
4:1
Apr 9, 2016 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Costa Rica
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 16 / 100
Corumbaense 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica Corumbaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corumbaense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (35 games).

Corumbaense has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Costa Rica has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica VS Corumbaense
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica

(Home)
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
21 Feb
Bataguassu
2 : 0
Costa Rica
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Feb
Operario MS
0 : 0
Costa Rica
08 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Aguia Negra
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Corumbaense

(Away)
18 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Corumbaense
15 Mar
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Operario MS
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 9 5 3 1 13:9 18
2 Operario MS 9 4 5 0 14:5 17
3 Corumbaense 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
4 Ivinhema 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
5 Bataguassu 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
6 Dourados 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
7 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
8 Pantanal 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
9 Costa Rica 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
10 Aguia Negra 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)