Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa Rica vs Martinique

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup 2023 Sports Illustrated Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Waston K.
18' Event
Burner P.
40' Event
Calvo F.

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica in this Gold Cup 2023 matchup, with the score ending 6-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Costa Rica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Costa Rica
33%
Draws
40%
Martinique
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Martinique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Costa Rica have won more games recently than Martinique.
  • Win probability leans Martinique's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Costa Rica here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 20%
Martinique Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica Martinique
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2023 Gold Cup
Costa Rica vs Martinique
6:4
Mar 25, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Martinique vs Costa Rica
1:2
Jun 5, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Costa Rica vs Martinique
2:0
Jan 16, 2002 Gold Cup
Martinique vs Costa Rica
0:2
Jul 17, 1993 Gold Cup
Costa Rica vs Martinique
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Waston K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calvo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Martinique Compare

Top Goalscorer Burner P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mexique J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.36
Avg xA / game 0.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 28 / 100
Martinique 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica Martinique

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Costa Rica's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Martinique let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Martinique's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica VS Martinique
1.75 Goals Scored 0.4
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.4
75% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 20%
38% Over 3.5 20%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA321013:17
2Jamaica321010:27
3Trinidad & Tobago31024:103
4Saint Kitts and Nevis30030:140
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico32017:26
2Qatar31113:34
3Honduras31113:64
4Haiti31024:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama32106:47
2Costa Rica31117:64
3Martinique31027:93
4El Salvador30213:42
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guatemala32104:27
2Canada31206:45
3Guadeloupe31118:64
4Cuba30033:90