Sport Picks

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Costa Rica vs Nicaragua

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Waston K.
12' Event
Martinez A.
Assist: Ugalde M.
26' Event
Arteaga J.
Assist: Hernandez B.

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Costa Rica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Costa Rica
40%
Draws
29%
Nicaragua
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Costa Rica average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Nicaragua's 0.63.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 20%
Nicaragua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica Nicaragua
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship
Costa Rica vs Nicaragua
4:1
Sep 6, 2025 World Championship
Nicaragua vs Costa Rica
1:1
Jun 17, 2019 Gold Cup
Costa Rica vs Nicaragua
4:0
Jan 17, 2017 Copa Centroamericana
Costa Rica vs Nicaragua
0:0
Dec 16, 2015 Friendly International
Costa Rica vs Nicaragua
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ugalde M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nicaragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Arteaga J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica 32 / 100
Nicaragua 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica Nicaragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Rica's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nicaragua has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Nicaragua's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica VS Nicaragua
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica

(Home)
10 Jun
England
3 : 0
Costa Rica
01 Jun
Colombia
3 : 1
Costa Rica
31 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 5
Iran
27 Mar
Jordan
2 : 2
Costa Rica
19 Nov
Costa Rica
0 : 0
Honduras
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Nicaragua

(Away)
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0
Nicaragua
29 May
South Africa
0 : 0
Nicaragua
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
19 Nov
Haiti
2 : 0
Nicaragua
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0
Honduras
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama63309:412
2Suriname62319:69
3Guatemala62228:78
4El Salvador61052:113
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Curacao633013:312
2Jamaica632111:311
3Trinidad & Tobago61417:67
4Bermuda60154:231
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti63219:611
2Honduras62315:29
3Costa Rica61418:67
4Nicaragua61144:124
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)