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Costa Rica W vs Haiti W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Villalobos G.
55' Event
Mondesir N.
90' Event
Herrera A.

AI Match Summary

Costa Rica W in this Gold Cup Women tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Costa Rica W
6%
Draws
90%
Haiti W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Haiti W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Haiti W have won more games recently than Costa Rica W.
  • Win probability leans Haiti W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Haiti W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Costa Rica W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Costa Rica W Clean Sheet 10%
Haiti W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Rica W Haiti W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 4.75 3.14
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 4.75 3.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Costa Rica W vs Haiti W
2:1
Sep 22, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Haiti W vs Costa Rica W
1:0
Jul 3, 2023 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Costa Rica W vs Haiti W
2:0
Jun 28, 2022 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica W vs Haiti W
2:4
Jun 25, 2022 Friendly International Women
Costa Rica W vs Haiti W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Rica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalobos G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herrera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.65
Avg xA / game 2.38

Haiti W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mondesir N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Rica W 10 / 100
Haiti W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Rica W Haiti W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haiti W let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Costa Rica W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Costa Rica W scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Costa Rica W VS Haiti W
4.75 Goals Scored 3.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Rica W

(Home)
10 Jun
Costa Rica W
0 : 6
Canada W
06 Jun
El Salvador W
1 : 1
Costa Rica W
19 Apr
Costa Rica W
3 : 0
Guatemala W
11 Apr
Costa Rica W
21 : 0
Cayman Islands W
03 Mar
Bermuda W
0 : 8
Costa Rica W
Page 1 of 6

Haiti W

(Away)
08 Jun
Equatorial Guinea W
1 : 3
Haiti W
05 Jun
New Zealand W
1 : 2
Haiti W
18 Apr
Haiti W
1 : 1
Dominican Republic W
10 Apr
Haiti W
5 : 0
Anguilla W
03 Mar
Suriname W
0 : 2
Haiti W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico W440012:112
2Puerto Rico W41123:64
3Trinidad & Tobago W40131:91
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Group Stage)
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama W42118:57
2Guatemala W41216:85
3Jamaica W40315:63
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Group Stage)
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Costa Rica W430132:29
2Haiti W430126:29
3Saint Kitts and Nevis W40040:540
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Group Stage)
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)