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Cotinguiba vs Barra SE

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Sat, Aug 24, 2024
0 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cotinguiba host Barra SE in the Sergipano 2 2024. Barra SE are expected to control this from the start. Barra SE have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Cotinguiba have conceded 1.75 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Cotinguiba have won 0 to Barra SE's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2024, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.94) point toward Barra SE. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Cotinguiba
15%
Draws
73%
Barra SE
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barra SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Barra SE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cotinguiba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cotinguiba Clean Sheet 10%
Barra SE Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cotinguiba Barra SE
Matches Played 8 26
Wins 1 11
Draws 1 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2024 Sergipano 2
Barra SE vs Cotinguiba
2:0
Aug 24, 2024 Sergipano 2
Cotinguiba vs Barra SE
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cotinguiba 83 / 100
Barra SE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cotinguiba Barra SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cotinguiba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra SE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Barra SE registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Cotinguiba found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (8 games).

Scoring Trends

Cotinguiba VS Barra SE
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cotinguiba

(Home)
09 Oct
Barra SE
2 : 0
Cotinguiba
03 Oct
Cotinguiba
2 : 3
Santa Cruz SE
25 Sept
Socorrense
0 : 0
Cotinguiba
21 Sept
Cotinguiba
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
14 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 1
Cotinguiba
Page 1 of 2

Barra SE

(Away)
01 Mar
Itabaiana
4 : 2
Barra SE
22 Feb
Barra SE
0 : 2
Dorense
15 Feb
Confianca
8 : 1
Barra SE
09 Feb
Barra SE
1 : 0
America de Propria
03 Feb
Barra SE
3 : 2
Carmopolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)