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Cova De Piedade vs Santarem Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2021/2022 Estadio das Seixas, Malveira
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Moreira Nuno
65' Event
Balogun F.
75'
Yago Cariello

AI Match Summary

Cova De Piedade in this Liga 3 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cova De Piedade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cova De Piedade
30%
Draws
33%
Santarem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cova De Piedade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cova De Piedade lately — more wins on the board than Santarem.
  • Model gives Cova De Piedade a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cova De Piedade have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Cova De Piedade Clean Sheet 68%
Santarem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cova De Piedade Santarem
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.2 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Liga 3
Santarem vs Cova De Piedade
1:1
Apr 3, 2022 Liga 3
Cova De Piedade vs Santarem
2:0
Jan 29, 2022 Liga 3
Cova De Piedade vs Santarem
2:1
Oct 23, 2021 Liga 3
Santarem vs Cova De Piedade
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cova De Piedade Compare

Top Goalscorer Balogun F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader San Martin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Santarem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cova De Piedade 50 / 100
Santarem 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cova De Piedade Santarem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cova De Piedade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santarem let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cova De Piedade scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cova De Piedade stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santarem
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cova De Piedade

(Home)
01 May
Cova De Piedade
0 : 1
Amora
23 Apr
Santarem
1 : 1
Cova De Piedade
17 Apr
Cova De Piedade
1 : 1
Caldas SC
09 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Cova De Piedade
03 Apr
Cova De Piedade
2 : 0
Santarem
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Santarem

(Away)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1
Oliveirense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Fafe 6 3 2 1 8:5 13
2 Anadia 6 2 3 1 7:4 13
3 Canelas 2010 6 1 2 3 3:7 13
4 Lusitania FC 6 1 3 2 2:4 12
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanjoanense 6 3 2 1 11:5 18
2 Sao Joao de Ver 6 3 1 2 8:7 15
3 CDC Montalegre 6 1 3 2 11:14 9
4 Pevidem 6 1 2 3 7:11 6
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amora 6 2 1 3 7:7 15
2 Cova De Piedade 6 2 3 1 7:5 13
3 Caldas SC 6 1 3 2 8:10 12
4 Santarem 6 2 3 1 9:9 11
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oliveira Hospital 6 4 2 0 7:3 17
2 Real SC 6 2 3 1 4:3 16
3 Sporting CP B 6 1 2 3 6:8 10
4 Oriental Dragon 6 0 3 3 4:7 4
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Main)