Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 2 2011/2012 game between Covadonga and Navia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Covadonga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Covadonga come out ahead of Navia on wins alone.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Covadonga taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Covadonga have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Covadonga | Navia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 42 | 34 |
| Wins | 31 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.71 | 0.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.10 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Covadonga's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 42 recent games.
Navia let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.
Covadonga went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Covadonga
(Home)Navia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caudal Deportivo | 38 | 30 | 3 | 5 | 93:21 | 93 |
| 2 | Real Aviles | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 85:27 | 89 |
| 3 | Langreo | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 61:29 | 72 |
| 4 | Tuilla | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 50:38 | 65 |
| 5 | Condal | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 48:37 | 62 |
| 6 | Candas CF | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 52:41 | 61 |
| 7 | Luarca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 37:40 | 56 |
| 8 | Universidad Oviedo | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 59:54 | 56 |
| 9 | Llanes | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 46:41 | 55 |
| 10 | Cudillero | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 53:40 | 55 |
| 11 | Covadonga | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 66:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Navia | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36:55 | 46 |
| 13 | Gijon Industrial | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | 45 |
| 14 | Lealtad | 38 | 14 | 2 | 22 | 42:63 | 44 |
| 15 | Navarro | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 44:60 | 42 |
| 16 | Union Club Ceares | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 40:62 | 40 |
| 17 | Real Oviedo B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 40:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Nalon CF | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 42:72 | 37 |
| 19 | Pumarin | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 31:51 | 37 |
| 20 | SD Colloto | 38 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 31:98 | 12 |
