Sport Picks

Covadonga vs Valladolid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain

Copa del Rey Estadio El Bayu, Pola de Siero

Covadonga

0 - 1

Valladolid

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

12'

van Duiven R.

(Penalty)

26'

van Duiven R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Covadonga

15%

Draws

37%

Valladolid

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Covadonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Covadonga come out ahead of Valladolid on wins alone.
Win probability leans Covadonga's way, sitting at 42%.
Covadonga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Valladolid, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Covadonga Clean Sheet 16%

Valladolid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Covadonga	Valladolid
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	18	10
Draws	4	5
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	2.47	1.28
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	2.06	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 Copa del Rey

Covadonga vs Valladolid

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Covadonga 41 / 100

Valladolid 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Covadonga Valladolid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Covadonga scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Valladolid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Covadonga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Covadonga VS Valladolid

2.75 Goals Scored 1.88

1 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Covadonga

(Home)

29 Oct

Covadonga

0 : 1

Valladolid

25 Oct

Gijon Industrial

0 : 2

Covadonga

18 Oct

Covadonga

4 : 0

CD Mosconia

11 Oct

EI San Martin

4 : 2

Covadonga

04 Oct

Covadonga

2 : 1

Club Siero

Page 1 of 6

Valladolid

(Away)

29 Oct

Covadonga

0 : 1

Valladolid

23 Oct

Granada CF

2 : 1

Valladolid

18 Oct

Valladolid

2 : 3

Eldense

12 Oct

Valladolid

5 : 0

Albacete

04 Oct

Las Palmas

2 : 2

Valladolid

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Ribadesella CF 2

SD Noja 1

TBD -

Racing Santander -

Auriense 2

CD San Jose 1

TBD -

Dep. A Coruna -

Salamanca CF UDS -

TBD -

Celta Vigo -

Covadonga -

TBD -

Valladolid -

Guijuelo -

TBD -

Gijon -

CD Laredo -

TBD -

Burgos CF -

Numancia -

TBD -

Real Oviedo -

Llanera -

TBD -

Ponferradina -

Arosa SC -

TBD -

Pontevedra -

Atletico Tordesillas -

TBD -

Mirandes -

Gimnastica Segoviana -

TBD -

Leonesa -

Coruxo FC -

TBD -

Zamora -

Real Avila -

TBD -

Unionistas de Salamanca -

Gimnastic de Torrelavega -

TBD -

UD Ourense -

Atletico Calatayud 4

CD Baztan 1

TBD -

Osasuna -

Anaitasuna FT 10

CD Tedeon 2

TBD -

Alaves -

El Espinar Sant Rafel 1

Prat 10

TBD -

Ath Bilbao -

Sestao -

TBD -

Espanyol -

Varea -

TBD -

FC Andorra -

CD Cuarte -

TBD -

Girona -

Pamplona -

TBD -

Eibar -

Utebo FC -

TBD -

Sabadell -

Pena -

TBD -

Huesca -

Tudelano -

TBD -

Zaragoza -

CE Manresa -

TBD -

Sant Andreu -

Calamocha -

TBD -

CE Europa -

Reus FC Reddis -

TBD -

Barakaldo -

Amorebieta -

TBD -

UD Logrones -

Portugalete -

TBD -

Real Union -

Maracena 1

Tavernes 2

TBD -

Valencia -

Pinatar 11

Atletico Melilla 0

TBD -

Elche -

Talayuela 1

Sporting de Alcazar CF 3

TBD -

Malaga -

CD Tarancon -

TBD -

Levante -

Manacor -

TBD -

Villarreal -

Castellonense -

TBD -

Almeria -

Alcoyano -

TBD -

Mallorca -

Conquense -

TBD -

Castellon -

UD Poblense -

TBD -

AD Ceuta -

Puertollano C.F. -

TBD -

Albacete -

Ciudad Cieza -

TBD -

Granada CF -

Baleares -

TBD -

Eldense -

Deportiva Minera -

TBD -

FC Cartagena SAD -

Mijas Las Lagunas -

TBD -

Jaen -

Antequera -

TBD -

Aguilas FC -

Lebrijana 7

Ceuta 6 de Junio 1

TBD -

Getafe -

Hortaleza 4

Atletico Union Guimar 3

TBD -

Sevilla -

Recreativo Huelva -

TBD -

Rayo Vallecano -

Navalcarnero -

TBD -

Betis -

Trival Valderas -

TBD -

Leganes -

RSD Alcala -

TBD -

Las Palmas -

CD Badajoz -

TBD -

Tenerife -

Xerez CD -

TBD -

Cadiz -

Atletico Paso -

TBD -

Cordoba -

San Sebastian Reyes -

TBD -

CD Coria -

Don Benito -

TBD -

CD Extremadura -

Ciudad de Lucena -

TBD -

Rayo Majadahonda -

TBD -

1/64-finals

Ribadesella CF 0

Racing Santander 2

Auriense 0

Dep. A Coruna 3

Salamanca CF UDS -

Celta Vigo -

Covadonga 0

Valladolid 1

Guijuelo 1

Gijon 3

CD Laredo 2

Burgos CF 4

Numancia 4

Real Oviedo 3

Llanera 1

Ponferradina 2

Arosa SC 2

Pontevedra 0

Atletico Tordesillas 3

Mirandes 4

Gimnastica Segoviana 0

Leonesa 1

Coruxo FC 0

Zamora 2

Real Avila 1

Unionistas de Salamanca 0

Gimnastic de Torrelavega 3

UD Ourense 1

Atletico Calatayud 0

Osasuna 6

Anaitasuna FT -

Alaves -

Prat 1

Ath Bilbao 6

Sestao 4

Espanyol 3

Varea 0

FC Andorra 3

CD Cuarte 0

Girona 2

Pamplona -

Eibar -

Utebo FC -

Sabadell -

Pena 1

Huesca 5

Tudelano 0

Zaragoza 4

CE Manresa 2

Sant Andreu 3

Calamocha 0

CE Europa 3

Reus FC Reddis -

Barakaldo -

Amorebieta -

UD Logrones -

Portugalete -

Real Union -

Tavernes -

Valencia -

Pinatar 1

Elche 3

Sporting de Alcazar CF 0

Malaga 3

CD Tarancon -

Levante -

Manacor 0

Villarreal 5

Castellonense 1

Almeria 2

Alcoyano -

Mallorca -

Conquense 0

Castellon 3

UD Poblense 1

AD Ceuta 2

Puertollano C.F. -

Albacete -

Ciudad Cieza 0

Granada CF 3

Baleares 0

Eldense 1

Deportiva Minera -

FC Cartagena SAD -

Mijas Las Lagunas -

Jaen -

Antequera 2

Aguilas FC 0

Lebrijana 2

Getafe 3

Hortaleza 0

Sevilla 3

Recreativo Huelva 2

Rayo Vallecano 3

Navalcarnero -

Betis -

Trival Valderas -

Leganes -

RSD Alcala 1

Las Palmas 3

CD Badajoz -

Tenerife -

Xerez CD 1

Cadiz 3

Atletico Paso 3

Cordoba 1

San Sebastian Reyes 1

CD Coria 2

Don Benito 2

CD Extremadura 4

Ciudad de Lucena 0

Rayo Majadahonda 1

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Covadonga vs Valladolid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain

Covadonga

Valladolid

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Covadonga

Valladolid

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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