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Cove Rangers vs Montrose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cove Rangers host Montrose in the League One. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Montrose have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Cove Rangers have conceded 1.85 and scored 1.52. Head-to-head, Cove Rangers have won 3 to Montrose's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.44) point toward Montrose. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cove Rangers
20%
Draws
40%
Montrose
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Montrose have won more games recently than Cove Rangers.
  • Win probability leans Cove Rangers's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 16%
Montrose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cove Rangers Montrose
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League One
Montrose vs Cove Rangers
2:1
Apr 7, 2026 League One
Montrose vs Cove Rangers
2:3
Feb 17, 2026 League One
Cove Rangers vs Montrose
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 League One
Montrose vs Cove Rangers
0:3
Aug 16, 2025 League One
Cove Rangers vs Montrose
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cove Rangers 36 / 100
Montrose 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cove Rangers Montrose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Cove Rangers found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Montrose conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cove Rangers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cove Rangers VS Montrose
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cove Rangers

(Home)
17 Oct
Peterhead
2 : 0
Cove Rangers
13 Oct
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
10 Oct
Cove Rangers
1 : 1
East Fife
03 Oct
Queen of the South
4 : 3
Cove Rangers
26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Aberdeen B
Page 1 of 6

Montrose

(Away)
24 Oct
Montrose
3 : 0
Peterhead
17 Oct
East Kilbride
1 : 1
Montrose
13 Oct
Montrose
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
10 Oct
Montrose
0 : 5
Ross County
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 12 10 2 0 43:7 32
2 Hamilton 12 10 2 0 26:5 32
3 Montrose 12 6 1 5 17:20 19
4 East Kilbride 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
5 Airdrieonians 12 3 4 5 10:19 13
6 Queen of the South 12 4 1 7 13:34 13
7 Alloa 12 3 3 6 12:14 12
8 Peterhead 12 3 1 8 9:20 10
9 East Fife 12 1 6 5 9:16 9
10 Cove Rangers 11 1 3 7 9:18 6
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)