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Cowdenbeath vs Broxburn Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Mitchell Q.
68' Event
Jones S.
Assist: Docherty J.

AI Match Summary

Broxburn Athletic in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Broxburn Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cowdenbeath
15%
Draws
42%
Broxburn Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cowdenbeath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Broxburn Athletic have won more games recently than Cowdenbeath.
  • Model gives Cowdenbeath a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Broxburn Athletic here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cowdenbeath Clean Sheet 11%
Broxburn Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cowdenbeath Broxburn Athletic
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Broxburn Athletic
0:2
Oct 25, 2025 Lowland League
Broxburn Athletic vs Cowdenbeath
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Broxburn Athletic
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Broxburn Athletic
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 Lowland League
Broxburn Athletic vs Cowdenbeath
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cowdenbeath Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Broxburn Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitchell Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cowdenbeath 74 / 100
Broxburn Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cowdenbeath Broxburn Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cowdenbeath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Cowdenbeath scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Broxburn Athletic has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Cowdenbeath went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cowdenbeath VS Broxburn Athletic
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cowdenbeath

(Home)
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0
Berwick
26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3
Clyde
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1
Lochee United
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
Page 1 of 6

Broxburn Athletic

(Away)
03 Oct
Renfrew
3 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
26 Sept
East Stirlingshire
1 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
19 Sept
Broxburn Athletic
0 : 4
Linlithgow Rose
12 Sept
Boness United
1 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
29 Aug
Broxburn Athletic
2 : 0
Berwick
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)