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Cowdenbeath vs Gala Fairydean Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Reilly C.
Assist: MacPherson G.

AI Match Summary

Gala Fairydean Rovers in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gala Fairydean Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Cowdenbeath
20%
Draws
15%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cowdenbeath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Gala Fairydean Rovers have won more games recently than Cowdenbeath.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Cowdenbeath taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cowdenbeath Clean Sheet 20%
Gala Fairydean Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cowdenbeath Gala Fairydean Rovers
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.52 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Lowland League
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Cowdenbeath
0:3
Nov 1, 2025 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
2:2
Mar 15, 2025 Lowland League
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Cowdenbeath
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cowdenbeath Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Gala Fairydean Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Reilly C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cowdenbeath 67 / 100
Gala Fairydean Rovers 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cowdenbeath Gala Fairydean Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cowdenbeath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Cowdenbeath's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gala Fairydean Rovers let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Cowdenbeath has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cowdenbeath VS Gala Fairydean Rovers
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cowdenbeath

(Home)
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0
Berwick
26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3
Clyde
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1
Lochee United
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
Page 1 of 6

Gala Fairydean Rovers

(Away)
03 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0
Spartans
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)