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Stadium Background

Cowdenbeath vs Stirling University - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Burns J.
Assist: Walker E.
24' Event
McDowell S.
29' Event
Mwangi B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Cowdenbeath in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cowdenbeath.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cowdenbeath
15%
Draws
34%
Stirling University
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cowdenbeath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cowdenbeath have won more games recently than Stirling University.
  • Cowdenbeath are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cowdenbeath Clean Sheet 13%
Stirling University Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cowdenbeath Stirling University
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.52 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Stirling University
4:2
Mar 17, 2026 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Stirling University
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Lowland League
Stirling University vs Cowdenbeath
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 Lowland League
Cowdenbeath vs Stirling University
2:1
Aug 7, 2024 Lowland League
Stirling University vs Cowdenbeath
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cowdenbeath Compare

Top Goalscorer McDowell S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mwangi B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Stirling University Compare

Top Goalscorer Burns J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vonk T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cowdenbeath 84 / 100
Stirling University 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cowdenbeath Stirling University

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cowdenbeath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stirling University has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Cowdenbeath scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Cowdenbeath remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cowdenbeath VS Stirling University
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cowdenbeath

(Home)
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0
Berwick
26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3
Clyde
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1
Lochee United
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
Page 1 of 6

Stirling University

(Away)
03 Oct
Forres Mechanics
0 : 1
Stirling University
26 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
3 : 2
Stirling University
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1
Stirling University
16 Sept
Stirling University
0 : 1
Brechin
12 Sept
Stirling University
1 : 0
Dunipace
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)