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Coxim vs Chapadao

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2023
Coxim Logo

Coxim

0 - 2
FT
Chapadao Logo

Chapadao

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2023 game between Coxim and Chapadao finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chapadao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Coxim
20%
Draws
40%
Chapadao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chapadao come out ahead of Coxim on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Coxim taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Coxim Clean Sheet 16%
Chapadao Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coxim Chapadao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Chapadao vs Coxim
1:1
Feb 5, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Chapadao
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coxim 36 / 100
Chapadao 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coxim Chapadao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapadao has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Coxim remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Coxim's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Coxim VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coxim

(Home)
02 Mar
Coxim
0 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Coxim
16 Feb
Coxim
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
09 Feb
Coxim
0 : 2
Ivinhema
05 Feb
Dourados
2 : 2
Coxim
Page 1 of 6

Chapadao

(Away)
02 Apr
Ivinhema
2 : 4
Chapadao
26 Mar
Chapadao
0 : 3
Ivinhema
12 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Chapadao
05 Mar
Chapadao
1 : 1
Coxim
03 Mar
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Chapadao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 6 1 1 15:6 19
2 Operario MS 8 5 0 3 13:8 15
3 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Coxim 8 2 2 4 4:11 8
5 Comercial MS 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 6 1 1 11:5 19
2 Ivinhema 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
3 Novoperario 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
4 Aquidauanense 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Operario AC 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)