Sport Picks
CP Almeria vs Malaga Juniors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 
Match Events
19'
19'
Abarca Lara P.
49'
49'
Ariza Y.
69'
69'
Guevara E.
AI Match Summary
CP Almeria in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CP Almeria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CP Almeria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to CP Almeria lately — more wins on the board than Malaga Juniors.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on CP Almeria taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
CP Almeria Clean Sheet 12%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CP Almeria | Malaga Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 21 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.57 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs CP Almeria
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Malaga Juniors
4:1
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs Malaga Juniors
4:1
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs CP Almeria
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CP Almeria Compare
Top Goalscorer Abarca Lara P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guevara E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79
Malaga Juniors Compare
Top Goalscorer Ariza Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CP Almeria 47 / 100
Malaga Juniors 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CP Almeria Malaga Juniors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CP Almeria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Malaga Juniors conceded in 100% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Malaga Juniors lost 5 of their last 5 games.
CP Almeria found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
CP Almeria VS Malaga Juniors
1.14 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
CP Almeria
(Home) 11 May
CP Almeria
1 : 2 CD Torreperogil
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1 CP Almeria
01 May
CP Almeria
2 : 2 Marbelli
27 Apr
El Palo
3 : 0 CP Almeria
13 Apr
CP Almeria
0 : 1 Huetor Tajar
Page 1 of 6
11 May
CP Almeria
1 : 2 CD Torreperogil
01 May
CP Almeria
2 : 2 Marbelli
13 Apr
CP Almeria
0 : 1 Huetor Tajar
30 Mar
CP Almeria
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
16 Mar
CP Almeria
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
Page 1 of 3
Malaga Juniors
(Away) 04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1 Marbelli
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0 Malaga Juniors
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1 Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Almeria B
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0 Malaga Juniors
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1 Malaga Juniors
11 May
Arenas Armilla
3 : 2 Malaga Juniors
01 May
Jaen
1 : 0 Malaga Juniors
12 Apr
Mijas Las Lagunas
4 : 0 Malaga Juniors
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malaga B | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 76:22 | 83 |
| 2 | Jaen | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 60:35 | 73 |
| 3 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 57:35 | 61 |
| 4 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 48:30 | 61 |
| 5 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35:28 | 57 |
| 6 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 49:36 | 57 |
| 7 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 53:35 | 54 |
| 8 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 42:37 | 50 |
| 9 | Mancha | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Marbelli | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 32:42 | 42 |
| 11 | El Palo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:49 | 41 |
| 12 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Martos | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 28:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45:55 | 36 |
| 16 | Ejido | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 36:68 | 27 |
| 17 | CP Almeria | 34 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 35:75 | 23 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 31:63 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
