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CR Flamengo W vs Buzios W

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CR Flamengo W play Buzios W in the Carioca Women. CR Flamengo W are favorites here. Recently, CR Flamengo W averaged 3.45 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Buzios W averaged 0.14 goals scored and 11.57 conceded. In past meetings, CR Flamengo W won 1, Buzios W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 20, 2025 ended 18:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for CR Flamengo W and 1.00 for Buzios W. This points to a CR Flamengo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
CR Flamengo W
22%
Draws
9%
Buzios W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: CR Flamengo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CR Flamengo W picked up more points recently compared to Buzios W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
CR Flamengo W Clean Sheet 23%
Buzios W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CR Flamengo W Buzios W
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 18 0
Draws 8 0
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 3.45 0.14
Goals Conceded 0.83 11.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Carioca Women
CR Flamengo W vs Buzios W
18:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CR Flamengo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariana
5 Goals
Assists Leader Vitoria Almeida
4 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Buzios W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CR Flamengo W 67 / 100
Buzios W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CR Flamengo W Buzios W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CR Flamengo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick CR Flamengo W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CR Flamengo W attacking → ← attacking Buzios W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CR Flamengo W scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Buzios W let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 18.00 goals.

CR Flamengo W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Buzios W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 0
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CR Flamengo W761057:319
2Fluminense W751140:416
3Botafogo RJ W742155:514
4Vasco W741237:1013
5Perolas Negras W731317:1110
6Heips W720511:346
7EC Resende W71068:783
8Buzios W70071:810