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CR Flamengo W vs Duque de Caxias W

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Women 2024 Estadio Luso Brasileiro
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CR Flamengo W play Duque de Caxias W in the Carioca Women 2024. CR Flamengo W are favorites here. Recently, CR Flamengo W averaged 3.55 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Duque de Caxias W averaged 1 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. In past meetings, CR Flamengo W won 2, Duque de Caxias W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 12, 2024 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for CR Flamengo W and 1.00 for Duque de Caxias W. This points to a CR Flamengo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
CR Flamengo W
20%
Draws
16%
Duque de Caxias W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CR Flamengo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • CR Flamengo W picked up more points recently compared to Duque de Caxias W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
CR Flamengo W Clean Sheet 23%
Duque de Caxias W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CR Flamengo W Duque de Caxias W
Matches Played 31 13
Wins 20 3
Draws 8 1
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 3.55 1
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Carioca Women
CR Flamengo W vs Duque de Caxias W
7:0
Feb 17, 2016 Brasileiro Women
Duque de Caxias W vs CR Flamengo W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CR Flamengo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Laysa
2 Goals
Assists Leader Daiane
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Duque de Caxias W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CR Flamengo W 62 / 100
Duque de Caxias W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CR Flamengo W Duque de Caxias W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CR Flamengo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick CR Flamengo W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CR Flamengo W attacking → ← attacking Duque de Caxias W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CR Flamengo W scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Duque de Caxias W let in goals in 69% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

CR Flamengo W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Duque de Caxias W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 10
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Botafogo RJ W550029:215
2CR Flamengo W550019:115
3Perolas Negras W53118:410
4EC Resende W52124:97
5Olaria W51042:253
6Boavista W50051:360
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fluminense W640229:512
2Vasco W631227:510
3CEAC/Araruama W621311:107
4Duque de Caxias W62046:186
5Serra Macaense W61054:253