Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CR Flamengo W vs Ferroviaria W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Luso Brasileiro, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Layza
27'
Ju Ferreira
39'
Kati

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
CR Flamengo W
33%
Draws
40%
Ferroviaria W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ferroviaria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • CR Flamengo W have won more games recently than Ferroviaria W.
  • Ferroviaria W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
CR Flamengo W Clean Sheet 10%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CR Flamengo W Ferroviaria W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.75 3.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Brasileiro Women
CR Flamengo W vs Ferroviaria W
1:1
May 4, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Ferroviaria W vs CR Flamengo W
1:2
Aug 21, 2024 Brasileiro Women
CR Flamengo W vs Ferroviaria W
1:0
Feb 11, 2024 Supercopa do Brasil Women
CR Flamengo W vs Ferroviaria W
0:1
Dec 4, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Ferroviaria W vs CR Flamengo W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CR Flamengo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaylane
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ferroviaria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kati
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CR Flamengo W 26 / 100
Ferroviaria W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CR Flamengo W Ferroviaria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CR Flamengo W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ferroviaria W conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: CR Flamengo W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CR Flamengo W VS Ferroviaria W
1.75 Goals Scored 3.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CR Flamengo W

(Home)
12 Jul
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Palmeiras W
09 Jul
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Penarol W
27 May
Sao Joao PI W
0 : 2
CR Flamengo W
23 May
Internacional W
0 : 1
CR Flamengo W
16 May
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0
Fluminense W
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviaria W

(Away)
17 Jul
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
24 May
Atletico-MG W
2 : 3
Ferroviaria W
21 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 1
Palmeiras W
18 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 0
Vitoria W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W1291231:1328
2Palmeiras W1283127:1027
3Sao Paulo W1282219:826
4Ferroviaria W1264219:1222
5CR Flamengo W1264219:1322
6Bahia W1263322:1621
7Cruzeiro W1256123:1421
8Internacional W1262413:1020
9Gremio W1252517:1217
10Bragantino W1252519:2017
11Fluminense W1244414:1416
12Santos W1235412:1514
13Atletico-MG W1233614:1612
14EC Juventude W122377:129
15Mixto W121478:247
16Vitoria W121389:286
17America Mineiro W121386:256
18Botafogo RJ W121297:245
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)