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Crateus vs Esporte Limoeiro

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2025
Crateus Logo

Crateus

2 - 0
FT
Esporte Limoeiro Logo

Esporte Limoeiro

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ytalo
(Penalty)
61' Event
Paulinho Cearense
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 2025 game between Crateus and Esporte Limoeiro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crateus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Crateus
30%
Draws
23%
Esporte Limoeiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Crateus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Crateus are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Cearense 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
Crateus Clean Sheet 20%
Esporte Limoeiro Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crateus Esporte Limoeiro
Matches Played 19 17
Wins 10 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1 0.65
Goals Conceded 0.58 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 Cearense 3
Crateus vs Esporte Limoeiro
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 Cearense 3
Esporte Limoeiro vs Crateus
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crateus Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho Cearense
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Esporte Limoeiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crateus 40 / 100
Esporte Limoeiro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crateus Esporte Limoeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crateus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Crateus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Crateus's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Esporte Limoeiro let in goals in 53% of their last 17 matches.

Scoring Trends

Crateus VS Esporte Limoeiro
1 Goals Scored 0.17
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 17%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crateus

(Home)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
Page 1 of 4

Esporte Limoeiro

(Away)
15 Aug
Pacatuba
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
02 Aug
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 0
Tiangua EC
25 Jul
Vila Real
0 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
02 Aug
Esporte Limoeiro
0 : 0
Guarany SC
27 Jul
Crateus
2 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crateus 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Guarany SC 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Vila Real 6 2 2 2 5:3 8
4 Esporte Limoeiro 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Cearense 3 2025 (Play Offs)