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Crateus vs Guarany SC

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2025
Crateus Logo

Crateus

1 - 1
FT
Guarany SC Logo

Guarany SC

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Match Events

41' Event
Aldair
53' Event
Henrique
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cearense 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Crateus
15%
Draws
40%
Guarany SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crateus lately — more wins on the board than Guarany SC.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Cearense 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Crateus Clean Sheet 20%
Guarany SC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crateus Guarany SC
Matches Played 19 17
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1 1.12
Goals Conceded 0.58 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Cearense 2
Crateus vs Guarany SC
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarany SC vs Crateus
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Cearense 3
Crateus vs Guarany SC
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 Cearense 3
Guarany SC vs Crateus
0:0
Jul 20, 2025 Cearense 3
Crateus vs Guarany SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crateus Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Guarany SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aldair
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crateus 32 / 100
Guarany SC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crateus Guarany SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany SC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 17 outings.

Solid form: Crateus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Crateus found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (19 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Crateus VS Guarany SC
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Crateus

(Home)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
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Guarany SC

(Away)
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
21 Apr
Guarany SC
1 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crateus 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Guarany SC 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Vila Real 6 2 2 2 5:3 8
4 Esporte Limoeiro 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Cearense 3 2025 (Play Offs)