Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crato vs Guarani de Juazeiro

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Renezinho

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Crato and Guarani de Juazeiro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Crato
39%
Draws
31%
Guarani de Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Crato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Crato Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crato Guarani de Juazeiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Cearense 2
Crato vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:0
Mar 5, 2025 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato
3:1
Feb 9, 2025 Cearense 2
Crato vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:2
Feb 18, 2014 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crato Compare

Top Goalscorer Renezinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crato 31 / 100
Guarani de Juazeiro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crato Guarani de Juazeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crato found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Guarani de Juazeiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Crato has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crato VS Guarani de Juazeiro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Crato

(Home)
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
10 May
Crato
1 : 3
Icasa
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
Page 1 of 6

Guarani de Juazeiro

(Away)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
26 Apr
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 : 1
Crato
18 Apr
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Icasa851214:716
2Crato84318:515
3Cariri FC82246:78
4Barbalha82244:88
5Guarani de Juazeiro82246:118
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itapipoca850311:1015
2Crateus841310:413
3Guarany SC841312:813
4Caucaia83239:1411
5Atletico Cearense80446:124
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)