Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crawley Town vs Gillingham

England England

League Two 2025/2026 The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Dack B.
48'
Sub
Orsi-Dadomo D. In: McKirdy H.
Out: Orsi-Dadomo D.
64'
Andrews J.

AI Match Summary

The League Two 2025/2026 game between Crawley Town and Gillingham finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crawley Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Crawley Town
30%
Draws
34%
Gillingham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crawley Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gillingham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Crawley Town are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 18%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crawley Town Gillingham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 League Two
Crawley Town vs Gillingham
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 League Two
Gillingham vs Crawley Town
2:2
Dec 26, 2023 League Two
Gillingham vs Crawley Town
0:2
Aug 19, 2023 League Two
Crawley Town vs Gillingham
0:1
Feb 4, 2023 League Two
Gillingham vs Crawley Town
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crawley Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Richards T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adeyemo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gillingham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crawley Town 36 / 100
Gillingham 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crawley Town Gillingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gillingham let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Crawley Town stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Crawley Town scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crawley Town VS Gillingham
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crawley Town

(Home)
28 Jul
Oxford Utd
3 : 1
Crawley Town
25 Jul
Eastleigh
0 : 1
Crawley Town
02 May
Crawley Town
0 : 0
Salford
25 Apr
Accrington
3 : 3
Crawley Town
18 Apr
Crawley Town
0 : 0
Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 6

Gillingham

(Away)
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1
Charlton
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
25 Apr
Barnet
6 : 2
Gillingham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)