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Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crawley Town host Shrewsbury in the League Two. Little to choose between these two on current form. Shrewsbury have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Crawley Town have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.04. Head-to-head, Crawley Town have won 1 to Shrewsbury's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.44) back Shrewsbury to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Crawley Town
20%
Draws
40%
Shrewsbury
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shrewsbury lately — more wins on the board than Crawley Town.
  • Win probability leans Crawley Town's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 16%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crawley Town Shrewsbury
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.04 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town
1:0
May 3, 2025 League One
Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 League One
Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury
3:5
Mar 11, 2014 League One
Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crawley Town 39 / 100
Shrewsbury 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crawley Town Shrewsbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crawley Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shrewsbury conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Shrewsbury's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Crawley Town scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Crawley Town VS Shrewsbury
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Crawley Town

(Home)
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2
Chesterfield
06 Oct
Crawley Town
4 : 0
Bromley
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1
Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Crawley Town
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6

Shrewsbury

(Away)
10 Oct
Shrewsbury
0 : 1
Exeter
06 Oct
Shrewsbury
0 : 2
Stockport County
03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2
Shrewsbury
26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2
Colchester
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 10 6 1 3 15:10 19
2 Barnet 8 5 3 0 20:11 18
3 Crewe 10 4 6 0 12:7 18
4 Gillingham 10 4 4 2 15:10 16
5 York City 9 4 3 2 17:11 15
6 Walsall 9 3 6 0 12:6 15
7 Chesterfield 10 4 3 3 17:14 15
8 Cheltenham 10 4 3 3 16:16 15
9 Bristol Rovers 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
10 Rochdale 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
11 Grimsby 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
12 Newport 10 3 4 3 13:12 13
13 Tranmere 10 2 6 2 13:13 12
14 Exeter 10 3 3 4 6:6 12
15 Accrington 10 2 5 3 13:14 11
16 Fleetwood Town 10 2 5 3 10:11 11
17 Swindon 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
18 Shrewsbury 10 3 2 5 9:15 11
19 Colchester 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
20 Rotherham 10 2 4 4 12:16 10
21 Oldham 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
22 Port Vale 8 2 2 4 4:9 8
23 Northampton 8 1 4 3 4:7 7
24 Crawley Town 8 1 2 5 8:15 5
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)