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CRB vs Nautico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Wenderson
34' Event
Mikael
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Matheus Ribeiro In: Arnaldo
Out: Matheus Ribeiro

AI Match Summary

CRB in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CRB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CRB
20%
Draws
29%
Nautico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CRB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CRB have won more games recently than Nautico.
  • Win probability leans CRB's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CRB Clean Sheet 68%
Nautico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CRB Nautico
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Serie B
CRB vs Nautico
2:1
Mar 24, 2024 Copa do Nordeste
Nautico vs CRB
1:1
Feb 4, 2023 Copa do Nordeste
Nautico vs CRB
2:2
Aug 10, 2022 Serie B
Nautico vs CRB
2:1
Apr 27, 2022 Serie B
CRB vs Nautico
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CRB Compare

Top Goalscorer Crystopher Ribeiro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nautico Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Maranhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CRB 86 / 100
Nautico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CRB Nautico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CRB scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Nautico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: CRB remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CRB VS Nautico
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CRB

(Home)
07 Oct
CRB
3 : 1
Atletico GO
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1
CRB
27 Sept
CRB
3 : 0
Cuiaba
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0
CRB
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6

Nautico

(Away)
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Novorizontino
03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Nautico
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1
Sport Recife
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Nautico
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Novorizontino 32 16 9 7 54:27 57
4 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
5 Criciuma 32 15 8 9 33:28 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 32 11 9 12 39:40 42
14 Ceara 32 11 9 12 35:39 42
15 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)