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Creck Sporting vs Karonga United

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ntafu R.
58'
Ngolombe L.
58'
Ngolombe L.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025 game between Creck Sporting and Karonga United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Creck Sporting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Creck Sporting
15%
Draws
85%
Karonga United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karonga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Karonga United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Creck Sporting are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Creck Sporting Clean Sheet 68%
Karonga United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Creck Sporting Karonga United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Super League
Karonga United vs Creck Sporting
2:1
Nov 19, 2025 Super League
Creck Sporting vs Karonga United
1:0
Jul 26, 2025 Super League
Karonga United vs Creck Sporting
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Super League
Creck Sporting vs Karonga United
0:1
May 5, 2024 Super League
Karonga United vs Creck Sporting
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Creck Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Ntafu R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Karonga United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Creck Sporting 46 / 100
Karonga United 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Creck Sporting Karonga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karonga United conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Karonga United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Creck Sporting's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Creck Sporting VS Karonga United
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Creck Sporting

(Home)
08 Aug
Creck Sporting
0 : 1
Silver Strikers
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1
Creck Sporting
18 Jul
Creck Sporting
0 : 1
Mitundu Baptist
04 Jul
Big Bullets
2 : 0
Creck Sporting
28 Jun
Creck Sporting
0 : 1
Civo Utd
Page 1 of 6

Karonga United

(Away)
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1
Karonga United
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1
Creck Sporting
19 Jul
Silver Strikers
4 : 1
Karonga United
04 Jul
Karonga United
1 : 3
Dedza Dynamos
28 Jun
Karonga United
0 : 0
Moyale Barracks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 20 9 1 51:14 69
2 Big Bullets 30 21 3 6 60:20 66
3 Silver Strikers 30 18 10 2 50:18 64
4 Blue Eagles 30 13 9 8 38:30 48
5 Civo Utd 30 13 8 9 39:21 47
6 Karonga United 30 13 5 12 31:28 44
7 Ekhaya 30 13 3 14 36:28 42
8 Creck Sporting 30 11 9 10 25:27 42
9 Moyale Barracks 30 10 10 10 28:40 40
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 11 6 13 31:35 39
11 Chitipa United 30 9 10 11 23:30 37
12 Dedza Dynamos 30 8 8 14 24:33 32
13 MAFCO 30 8 7 15 29:37 31
14 Mzuzu City 30 7 7 16 26:49 28
15 Mighty Tigers 30 6 9 15 21:35 27
16 Songwe Border 30 1 3 26 10:77 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)