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Crema vs Pro Sesto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Stefanoni D.
73' Event
Maspero A.
76' Event

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Crema and Pro Sesto finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pro Sesto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Crema
30%
Draws
39%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Crema haven't matched Pro Sesto's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Crema a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Crema Clean Sheet 18%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crema Pro Sesto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Pro Sesto
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pro Sesto vs Crema
1:1
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Crema
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Pro Sesto
1:1
Aug 10, 2018 Club Friendly
Pro Sesto vs Crema
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crema Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Pro Sesto Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefanoni D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maspero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crema 36 / 100
Pro Sesto 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crema Pro Sesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crema's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Pro Sesto let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Crema stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crema VS Pro Sesto
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crema

(Home)
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
03 May
Piacenza
3 : 1
Crema
26 Apr
Crema
0 : 0
Correggese
19 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 1
Crema
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Pro Sesto

(Away)
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0
Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Piacenza
3 : 1
Pro Sesto
12 Apr
Pro Sesto
0 : 0
Pistoiese
02 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
0 : 0
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)