Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crema vs Sant'Angelo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Recino G.
25' Event
Davighi F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Crema
44%
Draws
20%
Sant'Angelo
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Crema haven't matched Sant'Angelo's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Crema Clean Sheet 18%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crema Sant'Angelo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Sant'Angelo
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Crema
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Sant'Angelo vs Crema
3:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Crema vs Sant'Angelo
1:2
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Crema
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Recino G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Sant'Angelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Davighi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crema 36 / 100
Sant'Angelo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crema Sant'Angelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sant'Angelo let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Crema found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Crema remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crema VS Sant'Angelo
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crema

(Home)
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
03 May
Piacenza
3 : 1
Crema
26 Apr
Crema
0 : 0
Correggese
19 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 1
Crema
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
Page 1 of 6

Sant'Angelo

(Away)
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Piacenza
02 Apr
Correggese
2 : 1
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)