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Crema vs Sasso Marconi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Pavesi R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Crema and Sasso Marconi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Crema
44%
Draws
20%
Sasso Marconi
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Crema haven't matched Sasso Marconi's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Crema Clean Sheet 22%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crema Sasso Marconi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Sasso Marconi
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Crema
0:1
Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Crema
1:2
Oct 13, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Sasso Marconi
2:2
Feb 24, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Crema
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavesi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Sasso Marconi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crema 37 / 100
Sasso Marconi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crema Sasso Marconi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crema scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sasso Marconi conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Crema stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crema VS Sasso Marconi
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Crema

(Home)
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
03 May
Piacenza
3 : 1
Crema
26 Apr
Crema
0 : 0
Correggese
19 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 1
Crema
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
Page 1 of 6

Sasso Marconi

(Away)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
12 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0
Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)