Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cremonese U19 vs Cesena U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2023/2024 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Thu, May 16, 2024
1 - 2
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Stuckler D.
57' Event
Giovannini A.
95'

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Cesena U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cremonese U19
20%
Draws
38%
Cesena U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cremonese U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cesena U19 come out ahead of Cremonese U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cremonese U19 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Cesena U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cesena U19, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Cremonese U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Cesena U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese U19 Cesena U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 21
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 2.43 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2024 Primavera 2
Cremonese U19 vs Cesena U19
1:2
Feb 17, 2018 Primavera 2
Cesena U19 vs Cremonese U19
2:0
Oct 14, 2017 Primavera 2
Cremonese U19 vs Cesena U19
2:1
Feb 2, 2015 Viareggio Cup
Cesena U19 vs Cremonese U19
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cremonese U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stuckler D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Cesena U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Giovannini A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese U19 38 / 100
Cesena U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese U19 Cesena U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cremonese U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cremonese U19's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Cesena U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Cremonese U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese U19 VS Cesena U19
2.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Mantova U19
4 : 1
Cremonese U19
12 Sept
Cremonese U19
3 : 1
Venezia U19
05 Sept
Lecco U19
0 : 4
Cremonese U19
16 May
Cremonese U19
1 : 2
Cesena U19
11 May
Cremonese U19
4 : 1
Cittadella U19
Page 1 of 6

Cesena U19

(Away)
07 Aug
Cesena U19
2 : 4
Forli FC
27 Jul
Cesena U19
1 : 1
Imolese
16 May
Cremonese U19
1 : 2
Cesena U19
11 May
Salernitana U19
1 : 5
Cesena U19
04 May
Cesena U19
1 : 1
Entella U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Cremonese U19 1
Cesena U19 2