Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cremonese vs Bologna

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Joao Mario
Assist: Miranda J.
16' Event
Rowe J.
Assist: Miranda J.
45'
Maleh Y.

AI Match Summary

Bologna in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bologna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cremonese
33%
Draws
27%
Bologna
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cremonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bologna have won more games recently than Cremonese.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Cremonese taking it.
  • Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 68%
Bologna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese Bologna
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Serie A
Cremonese vs Bologna
1:2
Dec 1, 2025 Serie A
Bologna vs Cremonese
1:3
May 20, 2023 Serie A
Cremonese vs Bologna
1:5
Jan 23, 2023 Serie A
Bologna vs Cremonese
1:1
May 6, 2006 Serie B
Cremonese vs Bologna
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cremonese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bologna Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Mario
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rowe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese 50 / 100
Bologna 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese Bologna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Bologna has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Cremonese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cremonese scored in 48% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese VS Bologna
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese

(Home)
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1
Cittadella
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0
Giana Erminio
24 May
Cremonese
1 : 4
Como
17 May
Udinese
0 : 1
Cremonese
10 May
Cremonese
3 : 0
Pisa
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Bologna

(Away)
25 Jul
Bologna
2 : 0
Iraklis FC
22 Jul
Bologna
1 : 1
Heidenheim
18 Jul
Bologna
0 : 4
Arminia Bielefeld
23 May
Bologna
3 : 3
Inter
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1
Bologna
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter38276589:3587
2Napoli38237858:3676
3AS Roma382341159:3173
4Como382011765:2971
5AC Milan382010853:3570
6Juventus381912761:3469
7Atalanta381514951:3659
8Bologna381681449:4656
9Lazio3814121241:4054
10Udinese381481645:4850
11Sassuolo381471746:5049
12Torino381291744:6345
13Parma3811121528:4645
14Cagliari3811101740:5343
15Fiorentina389151441:5042
16Genoa3810111741:5141
17Lecce381082028:5038
18Cremonese388102032:5734
19Verona383122325:6121
20Pisa382122426:7118
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)