Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cremonese vs Como

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Maleh Y. In: Vandeputte J.
Out: Maleh Y.
20'
Rodriguez J.
21'
Thorsby M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Cremonese and Como finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Como.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cremonese
20%
Draws
52%
Como
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Como

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Como carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Como's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 20%
Como Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese Como
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.96 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie A
Cremonese vs Como
1:4
Sep 27, 2025 Serie A
Como vs Cremonese
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 Serie B
Cremonese vs Como
2:1
Oct 8, 2023 Serie B
Como vs Cremonese
1:3
May 6, 2022 Serie B
Como vs Cremonese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cremonese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Como Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Douvikas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese 16 / 100
Como 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese Como

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Como Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Como has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Cremonese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Cremonese scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese VS Como
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese

(Home)
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
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Como

(Away)
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
22 Aug
Udinese
1 : 1
Como
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)