Sport Picks
Cremonese vs Fiorentina
Italy
Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona 
Match Events
25'
25'
Parisi F.
Assist: Mandragora R.
27'
27'
Bondo W.
32'
32'
Piccoli R.
Assist: Gosens R.
AI Match Summary
Fiorentina in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiorentina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Fiorentina have won more games recently than Cremonese.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Fiorentina have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 68%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cremonese | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.74 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 16, 2026 Serie A
Cremonese vs Fiorentina
1:4
Jan 4, 2026 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Cremonese
1:0
Apr 27, 2023 Coppa Italia
Fiorentina vs Cremonese
0:0
Apr 5, 2023 Coppa Italia
Cremonese vs Fiorentina
0:2
Mar 12, 2023 Serie A
Cremonese vs Fiorentina
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cremonese Compare
Top Goalscorer Okereke D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Fiorentina Compare
Top Goalscorer Parisi F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Piccoli R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cremonese 41 / 100
Fiorentina 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cremonese Fiorentina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fiorentina conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Cremonese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Cremonese's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Cremonese VS Fiorentina
1 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cremonese
(Home) 07 Aug
Verona
0 : 1 Cremonese
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0 Lumezzane
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0 Giana Erminio
24 May
Cremonese
1 : 4 Como
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0 Lumezzane
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0 Giana Erminio
24 May
Cremonese
1 : 4 Como
10 May
Cremonese
3 : 0 Pisa
Page 1 of 3
Fiorentina
(Away) 06 Aug
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Dep. A Coruna
01 Aug
Real Madrid
2 : 2 Fiorentina
29 Jul
Watford
0 : 1 Fiorentina
25 Jul
QPR
3 : 2 Fiorentina
22 Jul
Fiorentina
1 : 0 Gubbio
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Real Madrid
2 : 2 Fiorentina
29 Jul
Watford
0 : 1 Fiorentina
25 Jul
QPR
3 : 2 Fiorentina
17 May
Juventus
0 : 2 Fiorentina
04 May
AS Roma
4 : 0 Fiorentina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 87 |
| 2 | Napoli | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 73 |
| 4 | Como | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 56 |
| 9 | Lazio | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | 49 |
| 12 | Torino | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | 45 |
| 13 | Parma | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | 43 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | 41 |
| 17 | Lecce | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | 38 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | 34 |
| 19 | Verona | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | 21 |
| 20 | Pisa | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | 18 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)
