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Cremonese vs Padova

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Sun, Sep 6, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cremonese host Padova in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Cremonese at 0.81 goals for, 1.44 against; Padova at 1.14 for, 1.48 against. Head-to-head, Cremonese have won 0 to Padova's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2019, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.06, favoring Padova. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cremonese
30%
Draws
33%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cremonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Padova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cremonese are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 20%
Padova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese Padova
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.81 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2019 Serie B
Cremonese vs Padova
0:0
Sep 23, 2018 Serie B
Padova vs Cremonese
1:1
Mar 23, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Padova vs Cremonese
2:1
Nov 15, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Cremonese vs Padova
1:1
Jul 31, 2013 Club Friendly
Padova vs Cremonese
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese 40 / 100
Padova 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cremonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padova let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Cremonese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cremonese found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Cremonese VS Padova
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese

(Home)
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
17 Aug
Cremonese
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Aug
Verona
0 : 1
Cremonese
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0
Lumezzane
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1
Cittadella
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Padova

(Away)
23 Aug
Pisa
0 : 1
Padova
15 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Padova
07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3
Padova
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2
Padova
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Ascoli 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Mantova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Modena 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Arezzo 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Padova 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Sudtirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Palermo 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Empoli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 Cesena 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
13 Avellino 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 Benevento 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
16 Verona 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Pisa 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Entella 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 0:1 -2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)