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Cremonese vs Padova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Bonazzoli F.
Assist: Licina A.
5' Event
Licina A.
Assist: Berti T.
45' Event
Pompetti M.
Assist: Carissoni L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Cremonese and Padova finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cremonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cremonese
30%
Draws
27%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cremonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Cremonese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cremonese are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 68%
Padova Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cremonese Padova
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.11 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie B
Cremonese vs Padova
3:1
Feb 9, 2019 Serie B
Cremonese vs Padova
0:0
Sep 23, 2018 Serie B
Padova vs Cremonese
1:1
Mar 23, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Padova vs Cremonese
2:1
Nov 15, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Cremonese vs Padova
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cremonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonazzoli F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Licina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Padova Compare

Top Goalscorer Pompetti M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cremonese 77 / 100
Padova 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cremonese Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cremonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cremonese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Cremonese scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Padova has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cremonese VS Padova
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cremonese

(Home)
02 Oct
Juventus
0 : 1
Cremonese
26 Sept
Monza
2 : 3
Cremonese
19 Sept
Cremonese
0 : 0
Entella
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
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Padova

(Away)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0
Ascoli
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
29 Aug
Padova
1 : 1
Verona
23 Aug
Pisa
0 : 1
Padova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
19 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 1
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)