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Creteil vs Frejus Saint Raphael

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Iva T.
60' Event
Iva T.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between Creteil and Frejus Saint Raphael finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Creteil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Creteil
20%
Draws
33%
Frejus Saint Raphael
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Creteil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Creteil come out ahead of Frejus Saint Raphael on wins alone.
  • Creteil are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Creteil Clean Sheet 68%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Creteil Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.16 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Creteil vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:0
Aug 22, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Creteil
2:1
Mar 30, 2013 Ligue 3
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Creteil
1:0
Oct 19, 2012 Ligue 3
Creteil vs Frejus Saint Raphael
3:0
Apr 20, 2012 Ligue 3
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Creteil
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Creteil Compare

Top Goalscorer Iva T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Creteil 86 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Creteil Frejus Saint Raphael

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Frejus Saint Raphael conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Creteil's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Creteil has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Creteil VS Frejus Saint Raphael
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Creteil

(Home)
28 Jul
Creteil
2 : 2
Paris 13 Atletico
25 Jul
Angers
2 : 1
Creteil
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
16 May
Rumilly Vallieres
0 : 1
Creteil
09 May
Creteil
2 : 0
Limonest
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Frejus Saint Raphael

(Away)
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0
RC Grasse
09 May
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1
Toulon
25 Apr
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 0
Saint Priest
18 Apr
Rumilly Vallieres
1 : 3
Frejus Saint Raphael
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)