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Crevillente vs Castellonense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Candel S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 game between Crevillente and Castellonense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellonense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Crevillente
44%
Draws
20%
Castellonense
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castellonense come out ahead of Crevillente on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Castellonense have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Crevillente Clean Sheet 16%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crevillente Castellonense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Crevillente vs Castellonense
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Crevillente
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Crevillente
4:2
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Crevillente vs Castellonense
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crevillente Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Castellonense Compare

Top Goalscorer Candel S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crevillente 36 / 100
Castellonense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crevillente Castellonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Crevillente scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Castellonense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Castellonense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Crevillente VS Castellonense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Crevillente

(Home)
09 May
Crevillente
2 : 0
Roda
02 May
Recambios Colon
1 : 2
Crevillente
26 Apr
Crevillente
2 : 4
Torrellano
18 Apr
Levante B
4 : 1
Crevillente
12 Apr
Crevillente
2 : 3
Atzeneta
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Castellonense

(Away)
09 May
Castellonense
0 : 1
Atzeneta
02 May
Hercules B
1 : 4
Castellonense
26 Apr
Castellonense
1 : 1
Atletico Saguntino
18 Apr
Castellonense
2 : 3
Ontinyent 1931 CF
12 Apr
Villarreal C
3 : 0
Castellonense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Castellonense34207756:3067
2Atletico Saguntino34206850:3066
3Levante B341811554:2665
4Villarreal C34196963:3663
5La Nucia341613544:2661
6CD Bunol3413111034:4050
7Vall de Uxo3413101131:2949
8Ontinyent 1931 CF341391232:3048
9Torrellano341381340:3847
10Soneja341361535:4245
11Hercules B3410111331:4641
12Roda341171632:4540
13Crevillente349111444:4938
14Jove341081635:4438
15Atzeneta341071729:3937
16Utiel347101730:4531
17Alzira347101732:4931
18Recambios Colon342131927:5519
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Play Offs)