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Crewe U23 vs Bristol City U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Conway T.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Conway T.
49' Event
Benarous A.

AI Match Summary

The Professional Development League 2021/2022 game between Crewe U23 and Bristol City U23 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bristol City U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Crewe U23
30%
Draws
62%
Bristol City U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bristol City U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Bristol City U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bristol City U23 a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Crewe U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Bristol City U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe U23 Bristol City U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 19
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.03 2.39
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2022 Professional Development League
Crewe U23 vs Bristol City U23
0:4
Oct 27, 2020 Professional Development League
Bristol City U23 vs Crewe U23
4:1
Apr 20, 2020 Professional Development League
Bristol City U23 vs Crewe U23
0:0
Mar 13, 2019 Professional Development League
Crewe U23 vs Bristol City U23
3:0
Sep 4, 2017 Professional Development League
Crewe U23 vs Bristol City U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crewe U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Bristol City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Conway T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Benarous A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe U23 10 / 100
Bristol City U23 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe U23 Bristol City U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bristol City U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe U23's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bristol City U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Crewe U23 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crewe U23 VS Bristol City U23
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe U23

(Home)
03 May
Cardiff U23
2 : 1
Crewe U23
28 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 4
Coventry U23
25 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 4
Charlton U23
20 Apr
Peterborough U23
0 : 0
Crewe U23
11 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 3
Sheffield Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

Bristol City U23

(Away)
02 Aug
Yate
3 : 3
Bristol City U23
17 May
Bristol City U23
2 : 3
Coventry U23
09 May
Sheffield Utd U23
0 : 1
Bristol City U23
03 May
Bristol City U23
4 : 2
Coventry U23
25 Apr
Barnsley U23
1 : 1
Bristol City U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)