Sport Picks
Crewe vs Liverpool U21
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Alexandra Stadium, Crewe 
Match Events
8'
8'
Laffey M.
10'
10'
Mrozek F.
11'
11'
Tezgel E.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Crewe in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Crewe have won more games recently than Liverpool U21.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Crewe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Crewe, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Crewe Clean Sheet 10%
Liverpool U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crewe | Liverpool U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 14, 2025 EFL Trophy
Crewe vs Liverpool U21
2:0
Aug 27, 2024 EFL Trophy
Crewe vs Liverpool U21
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crewe Compare
Top Goalscorer Rankine D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Liverpool U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crewe 29 / 100
Liverpool U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crewe Liverpool U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Liverpool U21 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Crewe scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Crewe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Crewe VS Liverpool U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Crewe
(Home) 21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3 Crewe
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1 Stoke City
11 Jul
Witton Albion
2 : 3 Crewe
02 May
Crewe
0 : 0 Cambridge Utd
25 Apr
Chesterfield
2 : 0 Crewe
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1 Stoke City
02 May
Crewe
0 : 0 Cambridge Utd
18 Apr
Crewe
1 : 3 Milton Keynes Dons
06 Apr
Crewe
1 : 0 Salford
28 Mar
Crewe
2 : 1 Oldham
Page 1 of 3
Liverpool U21
(Away) 26 Apr
Liverpool U21
3 : 4 Crystal Palace U21
22 Mar
Liverpool U21
1 : 5 Crystal Palace U21
16 Mar
Manchester City U21
2 : 0 Liverpool U21
08 Mar
Liverpool U21
5 : 0 Wolves U21
01 Mar
Liverpool U21
4 : 2 Tottenham U21
Page 1 of 6
16 Mar
Manchester City U21
2 : 0 Liverpool U21
20 Feb
Nottingham U21
0 : 3 Liverpool U21
08 Feb
Southampton U21
1 : 1 Liverpool U21
30 Jan
Brighton U21
0 : 1 Liverpool U21
09 Jan
Norwich U21
2 : 3 Liverpool U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 4 | Wigan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranmere | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Blackpool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Barrow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Nottingham U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doncaster | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Barnsley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 3 | Manchester United U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Notts County | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Rotherham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:14 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:11 | 2 |
| 4 | Mansfield | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port Vale | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Accrington | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crewe | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 3 | Burton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 2 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Exeter | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Newport | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Arsenal U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Plymouth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
| 4 | Tottenham U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:12 | 2 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northampton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Shrewsbury | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swindon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 2 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Reading | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 13)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stevenage | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:4 | 9 |
| 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Bromley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 14)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Peterborough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 15)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colchester | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Wycombe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 16)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Barnet | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)