Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crewe vs Salford

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Alexandra Stadium, Crewe
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tezgel E.
Assist: O'Reilly T.
46'
Sub
Stockton C. In: Borini F.
Out: Stockton C.
46'
Sub
Ehibhatiomhan P. In: Udoh D.
Out: Ehibhatiomhan P.

AI Match Summary

The League Two 2025/2026 game between Crewe and Salford finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crewe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Crewe
28%
Draws
22%
Salford
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Crewe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Salford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Crewe are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Crewe Clean Sheet 20%
Salford Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crewe Salford
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 League Two
Crewe vs Salford
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 League Two
Salford vs Crewe
1:3
Mar 8, 2025 League Two
Salford vs Crewe
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 League Two
Crewe vs Salford
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 League Two
Crewe vs Salford
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer Tezgel E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Salford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crewe 49 / 100
Salford 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crewe Salford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Salford has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Crewe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crewe VS Salford
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Crewe

(Home)
21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3
Crewe
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1
Stoke City
11 Jul
Witton Albion
2 : 3
Crewe
02 May
Crewe
0 : 0
Cambridge Utd
25 Apr
Chesterfield
2 : 0
Crewe
Page 1 of 6

Salford

(Away)
18 Jul
United of Manchester
1 : 4
Salford
25 May
Notts County
3 : 0
Salford
15 May
Salford
2 : 2
Grimsby
10 May
Grimsby
1 : 2
Salford
02 May
Crawley Town
0 : 0
Salford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)