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Criciuma U20 vs Fortaleza U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
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AI Match Summary

Criciuma U20 play Fortaleza U20 in the Brasileiro U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Criciuma U20 averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Fortaleza U20 averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Criciuma U20 won 0, Fortaleza U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Criciuma U20 and 1.19 for Fortaleza U20. This points to a Fortaleza U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Criciuma U20
26%
Draws
40%
Fortaleza U20
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Fortaleza U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Criciuma U20 picked up more points recently compared to Fortaleza U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Criciuma U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma U20 Fortaleza U20
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Criciuma U20 vs Fortaleza U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thales
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Manu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael Vaz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma U20 35 / 100
Fortaleza U20 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma U20 Fortaleza U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fortaleza U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Criciuma U20 attacking → ← attacking Fortaleza U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma U20 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Fortaleza U20 let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Criciuma U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fortaleza U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 34
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515