Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Criciuma vs Concordia

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2025 Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Gabriel Biteco
46'
Sub
Evandro In: Foguinho
Out: Evandro
48' Event
Talisson

AI Match Summary

Criciuma in this Catarinense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Criciuma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Criciuma
20%
Draws
20%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Criciuma lately — more wins on the board than Concordia.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Criciuma taking it.
  • Regular Catarinense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Criciuma have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%
Concordia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Concordia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.24 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
4:0
Feb 12, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Criciuma
2:2
Jan 19, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
3:1
Jan 19, 2025 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
2:0
Jan 24, 2024 Catarinense
Concordia vs Criciuma
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Talisson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelo Hermes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Concordia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 77 / 100
Concordia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Criciuma found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Concordia conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Concordia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0
Avai
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
Operario-PR
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0
Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
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Concordia

(Away)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma 11 5 5 1 16:7 20
2 Santa Catarina 11 5 4 2 19:13 19
3 Avai 11 5 3 3 13:6 18
4 Brusque 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
5 Chapecoense-SC 11 3 7 1 14:11 16
6 Figueirense 11 4 3 4 19:15 15
7 Marcilio Dias 11 3 5 3 8:9 14
8 Joinville 11 3 5 3 11:15 14
9 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 11 2 7 2 7:9 13
10 Concordia 11 3 2 6 9:19 11
11 Caravaggio 11 2 4 5 7:15 10
12 Hercilio Luz 11 1 3 7 7:16 6
Promotion - Catarinense 2025 (Play Offs)