Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Criciuma vs Concordia

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Anthonio Sergio
12'
Jhonata Robert
30' Event
Nicolas

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Criciuma
20%
Draws
32%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Concordia haven't matched Criciuma's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Criciuma have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Criciuma, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Criciuma have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%
Concordia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Concordia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.3 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
4:0
Feb 12, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Criciuma
2:2
Jan 19, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
3:1
Jan 19, 2025 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
2:0
Jan 24, 2024 Catarinense
Concordia vs Criciuma
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolas
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hiago Alves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Concordia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 41 / 100
Concordia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Criciuma scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Concordia has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Concordia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0
Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1
Criciuma
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2
Fortaleza
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Concordia

(Away)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Concordia 2
Criciuma 6
TBD -
Brusque -
Santa Catarina 1
Avai 5
TBD -
Camboriu -
Semi-finals
Criciuma 1
Brusque 0
Avai 0
Camboriu 1
Final
Criciuma 4
Camboriu 3