Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Criciuma vs Concordia

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Diego Goncalves
16' Event
Nicolas
45' Event
Jhonata Robert

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense game between Criciuma and Concordia finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Criciuma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Criciuma
30%
Draws
9%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / Very High Confidence
  • Criciuma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Criciuma taking it.
  • Regular Catarinense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Criciuma here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%
Concordia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Concordia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
4:0
Feb 12, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Criciuma
2:2
Jan 19, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
3:1
Jan 19, 2025 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
2:0
Jan 24, 2024 Catarinense
Concordia vs Criciuma
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Goncalves
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nicolas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Phillipe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 95 / 100
Concordia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Criciuma scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Criciuma went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Concordia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0
Nautico
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1
Criciuma
18 Jul
Criciuma
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC
08 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Criciuma
04 Jul
Criciuma
1 : 0
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 7

Concordia

(Away)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 6 3 3 0 9:6 12
2 Avai 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Camboriu 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
4 Concordia 6 2 1 3 5:10 7
5 Marcilio Dias 6 2 0 4 6:6 6
6 Joinville 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Catarina 6 3 3 0 10:5 12
2 Chapecoense-SC 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
3 Criciuma 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
4 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
5 Figueirense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Carlos Renaux 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)