Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Criciuma vs Sport Recife

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Thiaguinho
14'
Waguininho
29' Event
Waguininho

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Criciuma and Sport Recife finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Criciuma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Criciuma
15%
Draws
51%
Sport Recife
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Recife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sport Recife haven't matched Criciuma's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Criciuma's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 15%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Sport Recife
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Sport Recife
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Criciuma
3:3
May 25, 2023 Serie B
Criciuma vs Sport Recife
1:0
Aug 3, 2022 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Criciuma
1:1
Apr 23, 2022 Serie B
Criciuma vs Sport Recife
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Waguininho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sport Recife Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 41 / 100
Sport Recife 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Sport Recife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sport Recife's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Criciuma stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS Sport Recife
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
02 Oct
Londrina
0 : 2
Criciuma
27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0
Avai
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
Operario-PR
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0
Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6

Sport Recife

(Away)
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2
Sport Recife
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1
Sport Recife
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1
Sport Recife
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 31 17 6 8 44:31 57
2 EC Juventude 31 16 8 7 35:19 56
3 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
4 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
5 Fortaleza 31 14 11 6 36:27 53
6 Atletico GO 31 14 10 7 39:27 52
7 CRB 31 14 6 11 46:44 48
8 Operario-PR 31 13 9 9 43:41 48
9 Sport Recife 31 12 11 8 42:33 47
10 Cuiaba 31 11 13 7 32:25 46
11 Sao Bernardo 31 12 9 10 43:32 45
12 Goias 31 12 6 13 30:39 42
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 31 10 12 9 37:35 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 34:39 39
16 Botafogo SP 31 9 8 14 34:37 35
17 Avai 31 8 6 17 30:42 30
18 Londrina 31 7 7 17 39:45 28
19 America MG 31 4 5 22 21:52 17
20 Ponte Preta 31 3 4 24 17:66 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)