Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Criciuma vs Sport Recife

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Thiaguinho
14'
Waguininho
29' Event
Waguininho

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Criciuma and Sport Recife finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Criciuma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Criciuma
11%
Draws
9%
Sport Recife
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Sport Recife have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Criciuma are scoring more at 1.25.
  • Win probability leans Criciuma's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Sport Recife
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Sport Recife
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Criciuma
3:3
May 25, 2023 Serie B
Criciuma vs Sport Recife
1:0
Aug 3, 2022 Serie B
Sport Recife vs Criciuma
1:1
Apr 23, 2022 Serie B
Criciuma vs Sport Recife
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Waguininho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sport Recife Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 86 / 100
Sport Recife 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Sport Recife

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Criciuma stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Sport Recife's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS Sport Recife
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2EC Juventude1895419:832
3Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
4Operario-PR1794422:1831
5Fortaleza1894521:1731
6Novorizontino1886428:1730
7Sao Bernardo1876524:1727
8Sport Recife1768321:1526
9Goias1774618:2325
10Atletico GO1766519:1924
11Cuiaba1859414:1324
12CRB1865728:3223
13Athletic Club1758416:1623
14Nautico1863922:2321
15Botafogo SP1856720:1821
16Londrina1855825:2520
17Ceara1847716:2119
18Avai1845919:2517
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG18151212:298