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Criciuma W vs Marcilio Dias W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Women
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Criciuma W host Marcilio Dias W in the Catarinense Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Criciuma W have averaged 3.26 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Marcilio Dias W's 1.41 scored and 2.11 conceded. Head-to-head, Criciuma W have won 4 to Marcilio Dias W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.00) back Criciuma W to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Criciuma W
15%
Draws
42%
Marcilio Dias W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Criciuma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Criciuma W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Criciuma W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Catarinense Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Criciuma W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Criciuma W Clean Sheet 20%
Marcilio Dias W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma W Marcilio Dias W
Matches Played 35 27
Wins 21 12
Draws 2 1
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 3.26 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Catarinense Women
Criciuma W vs Marcilio Dias W
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Catarinense Women
Marcilio Dias W vs Criciuma W
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Catarinense Women
Marcilio Dias W vs Criciuma W
3:2
Sep 15, 2024 Catarinense Women
Criciuma W vs Marcilio Dias W
3:1
Sep 10, 2023 Catarinense Women
Marcilio Dias W vs Criciuma W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma W 36 / 100
Marcilio Dias W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma W Marcilio Dias W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (35 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Marcilio Dias W conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Marcilio Dias W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma W VS Marcilio Dias W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma W

(Home)
10 Oct
Criciuma W
10 : 0
Paysandu-SC W
12 Sept
Criciuma W
3 : 1
AJAP W
31 May
Realidade Jovem W
3 : 0
Criciuma W
18 May
Criciuma W
2 : 3
Realidade Jovem W
13 May
Sport Recife W
3 : 0
Criciuma W
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Marcilio Dias W

(Away)
10 Oct
Marcilio Dias W
0 : 2
Meninas de Jaragua W
03 Oct
Marcilio Dias W
2 : 0
Avai Kindermann W
27 Sept
Paysandu-SC W
1 : 3
Marcilio Dias W
12 Oct
Avai Kindermann W
3 : 0
Marcilio Dias W
28 Sept
Marcilio Dias W
0 : 1
Avai Kindermann W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meninas de Jaragua W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Criciuma W 2 2 0 0 13:1 6
3 Marcilio Dias W 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
4 AJAP W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
5 Avai Kindermann W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
6 Paysandu-SC W 3 0 0 3 2:16 0
Promotion - Catarinense Women (Play Offs)