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Criciuma W vs Toledo W Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Behm G.
25' Event
Behm G.
30' Event
Gloria Ramos E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Criciuma W in this Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Criciuma W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Criciuma W
15%
Draws
49%
Toledo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toledo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Criciuma W have won more games recently than Toledo W.
  • Criciuma W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Criciuma W Clean Sheet 20%
Toledo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma W Toledo W
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 16 4
Draws 2 1
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.79 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.21 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.01 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Criciuma W vs Toledo W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Criciuma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Behm G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Charao Y.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 1

Toledo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma W 58 / 100
Toledo W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma W Toledo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Toledo W conceded in 82% of 17 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Toledo W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma W VS Toledo W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.6
1 Goals Conceded 2.4
50% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma W

(Home)
12 Sept
Criciuma W
3 : 1
AJAP W
31 May
Realidade Jovem W
3 : 0
Criciuma W
18 May
Criciuma W
2 : 3
Realidade Jovem W
13 May
Sport Recife W
3 : 0
Criciuma W
02 May
Brasil de Farroupilha W
3 : 1
Criciuma W
Page 1 of 6

Toledo W

(Away)
14 Dec
Coritiba W
4 : 1
Toledo W
07 Dec
Toledo W
0 : 2
Coritiba W
23 Nov
Toledo W
2 : 1
Novo Mundo W
16 Nov
Patriotas W
0 : 0
Toledo W
09 Nov
Toledo W
0 : 5
Coritiba W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galvez W 3 3 0 0 9:4 9
2 Rolim de Moura W 3 1 1 1 12:3 4
3 Taruma W 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
4 Recanto W 3 0 0 3 2:21 0
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC W 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Operario MS W 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Cresspom W 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
4 Várzea Grande EC W 3 0 1 2 6:9 1
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Perolas Negras W 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Itabirito W 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Realidade Jovem W 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
4 Pinda Ferroviaria W 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coritiba W 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Brasil de Farroupilha W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Criciuma W 3 1 0 2 8:6 3
4 Toledo W 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga AP W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Tuna Luso W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Sao Raimundo RR W 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Manaus W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI W 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Ceara W 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Uniao RN W 3 1 0 2 7:3 3
4 IAPE W 3 0 0 3 1:21 0
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Alagoana W 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Ipojuca W 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 Mixto PB W 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Guarani de Paripueira W 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doce Mel W 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Juventude W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Prosperidade W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Alagoinhas W 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)