Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Croatia U18 vs Japan U18

World World

Friendly International 2024 Zelena Laguna Football camp, Poreč
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
60' Event
Shima Y.
84' Event
Tatsukawa H.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Croatia U18 and Japan U18 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Croatia U18
20%
Draws
35%
Japan U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Croatia U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Croatia U18 come out ahead of Japan U18 on wins alone.
  • Croatia U18 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Croatia U18 Clean Sheet 17%
Japan U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Croatia U18 Japan U18
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 15 14
Draws 8 2
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2024 Friendly International
Croatia U18 vs Japan U18
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Croatia U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Japan U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shima Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tatsukawa H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Croatia U18 75 / 100
Japan U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Croatia U18 Japan U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Croatia U18 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Croatia U18 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Japan U18 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Croatia U18 VS Japan U18
2.5 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia U18

(Home)
04 Jun
Croatia U18
3 : 0
Turkey U18
03 Jun
Croatia U18
2 : 2
Norway U18
13 Oct
Croatia U18
1 : 0
Wales U18
11 Oct
Croatia U18
3 : 0
Sweden U18
08 Oct
Croatia U18
2 : 0
Ukraine U18
Page 1 of 6

Japan U18

(Away)
21 Dec
Japan U18
2 : 0
Australia U18
20 Dec
Japan U18
2 : 4
Spain U19
07 Sept
France U18
1 : 1
Japan U18
05 Sept
Saudi Arabia U18
1 : 3
Japan U18
03 Sept
Japan U18
1 : 0
Portugal U18
Page 1 of 6